Commercial Economic Analysis (PE 0304310F) · Air Force

What it is

Commercial Economic Analysis (0304310F) is an Air Force research & development line funded in the Research, Development, Test and Evaluation, Air Force account. Its J-book detail breaks the line into 1 project.

What changed

-$592.0K FY25→26 R-1 TOA · PB2026

Who gets it

No company is linked to this line. Award records do not carry the program element, so the crosswalk is silent here — why.

Budget figures

FY24 Actuals

$4.25MR-1 TOA · PB2026

FY25 Total

$4.72MR-1 TOA · PB2026

FY26 Request

$4.13MR-1 TOA · PB2026

FY25→26 Change

-$592.0KR-1 TOA · PB2026

Data coverage

FY2026 award data is a partial year — USAspending reports awards on a rolling basis, and this corpus runs through 2026-09-04. why partial FY2026 data? →

Budget trajectory

The program's 3 summary figures for FY24 to FY26, plotted in fiscal-year order: this line ends lower than it starts. The points are the summary cards above, not a separate derivation; the table beside the chart carries each figure with its own citation.

Budget trajectory: one row per fiscal year, carrying the summary figure the sparkline plots. Every figure opens its own citation.
Fiscal year	Amount
FY24	$4.25M
FY25	$4.72M
FY26	$4.13M

All series figures: R-1 TOA · PB2026

Decade view

P-1/R-1 workbook TOA basis, shown compact in $B/$M (the workbook records USD thousands); each figure cites its own President's Budget edition

11 fiscal years of this program as published (FY2016–FY2026): a line through the actuals (filled dots), with the enacted (hollow circles) and request (diamonds) markers each edition reported. Read it for direction, not for precision — this program's actuals line rises across the span. The grid below is the same data as text, one cited figure per cell.

The vertical scale does not start at zero: the baseline sits just below this program’s smallest year, so a low point on this line is not a small amount. Read the shape for direction and the grid below for the figures.

● actuals (line) · ○ enacted · ◇ request — gaps are editions the program is absent from, never interpolated.

Decade series values by fiscal year and President's Budget edition: one row per series (actuals, enacted, request), one column per fiscal year. Every figure opens its own citation.
Series	FY16	FY17	FY18	FY19	FY20	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25	FY26
Actuals	$0	$0	$3.54M	$4.01M	$3.31M	$3.89M	$3.63M	$4.05M	$4.25M
Enacted	–	$0	$3.54M	$3.47M	$3.43M	$4.04M	$3.77M	$4.22M	$4.63M	$4.72M
Request		–	$3.54M	$3.47M	$3.43M	$4.04M	$3.77M	$4.54M	$4.63M	$4.72M	$4.13M

blank = series not published for this year; – = absent from that edition.

Asked vs spent: the PB2019 book requested $3.47M for FY2019; the PB2021 book reported $4.01M as actual total obligation authority — $542.0K above the request. 4.0 − 3.5 = 0.5 USD millions — the compact figures above are rounded for reading.

Program lineage

No predecessor/successor lineage was recorded for this program element — no FY-to-FY transfer into or out of this line was stated in the ingested J-books, and none was inferred from the program structure.

Description

Mission — Commercial Economic Analysis

To preserve Department of the Air Force and DoD military advantage from commercial and economic risk and identify commercial and economic opportunities to develop asymmetric advantage, the Office of Commercial and Economic Analysis (OCEA) produces in-depth analytical assessments and advanced risk mitigation strategies based on commercially available industry, market, and economic information. OCEA works with the HAF/SAF and Components to develop these strategies and establish market-based capabilities for the protection of the National Security Innovation Base, Defense Industrial Base, and the overall Industrial competitiveness of the United States. The funding request provides for an enterprise analytic framework for providing aggregate risk insights, mitigation strategies, and impact analytic products. The funding also supports continuous assessment of the commercially available information to ensure it is accurate, current, and relevant. Reduced Federally Funded Research and Development Center funding by $433K, reduced Service Contract by $248K and reduced travel by $12K by implementing the President's Department of Government Efficiency Cost Efficiency Initiative. Additional classified details can be found in OSD Comptroller's classified Justification Book Volume 6. This program element may include necessary civilian pay expenses required to manage, execute, and deliver weapon system capability. The use of such programs funds would be in addition to the civilian pay expenses budgeted in program element 0605827F, 0605828F, 0605829F, 0605831F, 0605832F, 0605833F, 0605898F, 0606398F. In PY 0.00M was expended for civilian pay expenses in this program element, and in CY 0.00M is forecasted for civilian pay expenses in this program element. This program is in Budget Activity 7, Operational System Development because this budget activity includes development efforts to upgrade systems that have been fielded or have received approval for full rate production and anticipate production funding in the current or subsequent fiscal year.

Justification

Accomplishments & Planned Programs (1)

Commercial Economic Analysis

Develop solutions to protect the National Security Innovation Base from adversary information attacks and protect the U.S. technological advantage. Research, develop, test and evaluate Commercial Economic Analysis capabilities, systems, tools, data, products, and services through a disciplined, yet agile, process that ensures commercial economic modeling pilots, risk management constructs, decision support tools, and continuous monitoring capabilities are available for Air Force sectors and segments of the National Security Innovation Base. Additional classified details can be found in OSD Comptroller's classified Justification Book Volume 6.

Budget line items(workbook-cited)

P-1/R-1 workbook Total Obligation Authority basis (USD thousands) · PB2026.

Exhibit R-1

Account	Org	Type	Amount
Research, Development, Test and Evaluation, Air Force	F	FY24 Actuals	$4.25M
Research, Development, Test and Evaluation, Air Force	F	FY25 Enacted	$4.72M
Research, Development, Test and Evaluation, Air Force	F	FY25 Total	$4.72M
Research, Development, Test and Evaluation, Air Force	F	FY26 Disc. Request	$4.13M
Research, Development, Test and Evaluation, Air Force	F	FY26 Total	$4.13M

Budget Details(R-2/P-40 facts)

J-book detail basis (R-2/P-40, USD millions) · PB2026 — a different accounting basis from the P-1/R-1 workbook TOA above; where the two disagree, the reconciliation strip under Budget figures shows both.

Wider than this screen — swipe the table sideways for the remaining fiscal-year columns.

Project	All Prior Years	FY24 Actuals	FY25 Total	FY26 Base	FY26 Request
Program Element	$0	$4.25M	$4.72M	$4.13M	$4.13M
675896: Commercial Economic Analysis	$0	$4.25M	$4.72M	$4.13M	$4.13M

Follow the dollar

No follow-the-dollar view — this program's awards haven't been crosswalked at high confidence (flows cover 312 of 1,938 programs). why coverage is partial? →

Awards

No awards are linked to this program element at high or medium confidence — the budget→award crosswalk only asserts links it can defend, and this line has none yet.

Lobbying mentions

17 mentions from the Senate LDA disclosure database.

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